Economic growth to pick up but risks to recovery ‘elevated’, say UK forecasts

Households and firms can expect more financial pain despite Britain dodging technical recession, says KPMG Britain will be left with deep scars from the pandemic despite narrowly escaping a second recession within three years and growing signs of an economic pick up, according to new forecasts. A new report by the accountancy firm KPMG has […]
Mortgage turbulence continues as HSBC pulls deals and Nationwide raises rates – business live

HSBC temporarily removes mortgage products for new customers, as borrowers face higher rates HSBC temporarily withdraws mortgage deals for new borrowers The UK’s cost of living crisis has driven down sales on the high streets, which turned negative for the first time in more than two years Total like-for-like retail sales, combining in-store and online, […]
Housebuilders cut back on construction as UK mortgage rate rises spook buyers

Work on residential building sites slips in May to weakest level since 2009 UK banks pull hundreds more mortgage deals as fixed rates rise Britain’s housebuilders are cutting back on the construction of new homes amid signs that potential buyers are being spooked by the prospect of increases in mortgage rates over the coming months. […]
UK banks pull hundreds more home loan deals as fixed mortgage rates rise

Mortgage market turmoil prompts record numbers of people to take out loans of more than 35 years Hundreds more home loan deals have been pulled by banks and building societies since the end of last week while rates on new fixed mortgage deals are continuing to ratchet upwards, the latest data reveals. The continuing turmoil […]
Biggest drop in UK annual house prices since 2009, with market ‘facing strengthening headwinds’ – business live

Nationwide reports that UK annual house price growth fell to -3.4% in May, from -2.7% in April, but hopes for a ‘soft landing’ Chris Druce, senior research analyst at estate agent Knight Frank, says further interest rate increases will act as a ‘brake’ on the housing market: “With fewer transactions at the start of the […]
UK homeowners and first-time buyers warned to brace for 5%-plus mortgage rates

Lenders forced to raise fixed-term deals after latest inflation figure pushed swap rates upwards Households looking for a new mortgage deal have been warned to expect 5%-plus fixed-rate deals in the coming weeks, after Wednesday’s inflation figures sent the money markets back into turmoil. Nick Mendes, the mortgage technical manager at the broker John Charcol, […]
Inflation calculator: find out how much UK household price rises affect you

This online tool will help you discover what is contributing to your household’s cost of living increases Inflation has been soaring in the UK, with people being hit by higher prices for everyday essentials. The latest inflation rate for the 12 months to April 2023 means that goods and services cost more than 8.7% more […]
UK inflation drops but food price rises remain close to 45-year high – business live

Rolling, live coverage of business, economics and financial markets as analysts expect drop in consumer price index inflation Rachel Reeves, Labour’s shadow chancellor, is focusing on food prices (as did her Conservative counterpart). But it is the core inflation number that is catching the eye of many analysts. Continue reading…
Bank of England boss urges firms to hold back price rises or risk higher rates

Andrew Bailey says interest rates will have to rise again unless inflation falls Wetherspoon’s boss: hospitality holding off price rises could be ‘catastrophic’ The Bank of England governor, Andrew Bailey, has called on businesses to hold back price rises, telling them that interest rates will need to rise again unless inflation falls. Bailey, who was […]
UK households ‘spent 12% more on essentials in February than year earlier’

Almost four in 10 people have to use credit cards to cover such costs, says Nationwide Inflation and rising bills mean UK households are spending 12% more on essentials than they were a year ago, with almost four in 10 people having to use credit cards to cover these costs, new data shows. Two days […]
Bank of England raises UK interest rates by quarter-point to 4.25%

Monetary policy committee votes to increase base rate after February’s surprise rise in inflation Business live – latest updates Analysis: Is this the end of interest rate rises? What the interest rate rise means for you The Bank of England has raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.25% in response […]
UK interest rate rise: what it means for you

How the new base rate of 4.25% might affect mortgages, house prices and credit cards Business live – latest updates Analysis: Is this the end of interest rate rises? Bank of England raises interest rates to 4.25% The Bank of England has yet again raised interest rates, this time by 0.25 percentage points, taking the […]
Why does the UK have highest inflation in G7 and is Brexit a factor?

Britain appears to be an international outlier after the shock reading in double digits this week Live coverage: Inflation jumps as cost of living crisis intensifies UK inflation rate in surprise rise to 10.4% Inflation calculator: find out how much price rises affect you Britain has the highest inflation rate in the G7, as the […]
Central banks must keep interest rates high to combat inflation, says OECD

Organisation also says UK will be only G20 economy apart from Russia to shrink this year Central banks should maintain the fight against inflation with high interest rates despite fears of a global banking crash, according to the OECD, which said the UK will be the only economy in the G20 apart from Russia to […]
Budget: UK on track for ‘disastrous decade’ of income stagnation

Thinktank says taxes as share of GDP are on course to reach 70-year high but public services are being cut Budget 2023: key points at a glance The UK remains on track for a “disastrous decade” of stagnant incomes and high taxes, despite cuts to public services, the Resolution Foundation has said in its analysis […]
UK shoppers slash spending as price rises and energy bills bite

February figures from BRC highlight impact of cost of living crisis on British economy before budget UK consumers sharply cut back their spending in February as soaring living costs damaged household finances, retailers have warned, despite strong sales of jewellery and fragrances for Valentine’s Day. Highlighting the impact of the cost of living crisis on […]
Want to properly plug the UK’s north-south divide? Look to Germany | Larry Elliott

Boosting spending power, increasing public funding for science and tech skills, R&D and infrastructure could work Britain has been struggling to find a solution to its north-south divide since the staple industries of the Industrial Revolution – textiles and coal – started to decline in the early 20th century. It is not a unique problem. […]
Weaker UK economic outlook weighs on housing market; Pret hikes worker salaries – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as Taylor Wimpey says weaker economic backdrop is hitting the near-term outlook Bank of England boss signals interest rates may have peaked More London-listed companies could choose to follow CRH’s plan and shift their primary stock market listing to New York, predicts Russ Mould, investment director […]
How rising interest rates sent the UK housing market into reverse

An end to ultra-low rates mean borrowers can only afford smaller mortgages BoE boss says interest rates may have peaked UK house prices fall at fastest annual rate since 2012 Since the turn of the year the news on the economy has been less bad than expected. Growth has been a bit stronger, spending in […]
Hopes rise that UK might avoid recession after services sector rebound

Pound edges up as stronger economic growth increases chances of further interest rate rises A rebound across the UK’s services sector in February has raised hopes that the country might avoid recession in the first half of this year. Analysts said the bigger than expected surge in business activity appeared to show that the UK […]
UK house prices ‘stable in January’; anger as BP profits soar to record – business live

British house prices were unchanged in January, Halifax reports, but annual growth slowed to a three-year low of 1.9% Danny Blanchflower, a former Bank of England policy maker, has predicted that “collapsing” house prices will push the UK central bank into a rapid pivot toward interest rate cuts. Blanchflower, who is now a professor of […]
UK shoppers rein in spending despite sales as cost of living crisis takes toll

British Retail Consortium says sales growth slowed in January amid soaring costs for energy and food British consumers sharply cut their spending in January as the cost of living crisis damaged household finances, retailers have warned, amid growing concern over the impact of high inflation on the economy. The British Retail Consortium (BRC) said sales […]
Retirement boom among UK’s older workers creates economic headache

Wyre Forest in the West Midlands has seen a huge jump in the ‘economically inactive’, many of them affluent older people, but the dearth of workers is a real problem for employers “I always laughed at people who said they’d never been so busy since they retired,” says David Richards, mopping his brow as he […]
Bank of England raises UK interest rates to 4%

Hike of 0.5 percentage points lifts rates to 14-year high, but BoE says shorter and shallower recession now more likely Interest rates rise again but Bank of England hints at a brighter future The Bank of England raised interest rates for a tenth consecutive time on Thursday from 3.5% to 4%, but said inflation may […]
UK borrowers may struggle to repay debt as economy worsens, says Santander

Bank puts aside more money to protect itself from potential defaults in expected recession The impending recession could leave borrowers struggling to repay their debts, the high street bank Santander UK has said as it put aside more cash to protect itself from potential defaults. The UK arm of the Spanish bank said on Thursday […]
UK demand for mortgages slumps as interest rates deter buyers

Bank of England figures also reveal many households are dipping into savings, rather than using credit cards Demand for mortgages has collapsed to its lowest level since the depths of the 2020 lockdown as potential homebuyers are deterred by rising interest rates, the latest official figures show. The Bank of England said the number of […]
The UK may avoid a recession for now but it won’t feel like it for many

Jeremy Hunt is not getting carried away by November growth, and monthly GDP moves can be erratic UK economy grew by only 0.1% in November Business live updates: UK may avoid 2022 recession In normal circumstances the fact that the UK economy eked out a bit of growth in November would be of little relevance, […]
UK economy grew by only 0.1% in November

Figure comes as people began Christmas shopping, while World Cup gave pubs and bars a boost UK may avoid recession but it won’t feel like it for many Business live updates: UK may avoid 2022 recession The UK economy unexpectedly grew by 0.1% in November as consumers headed to the shops in the run-up to […]
‘Marked slowdown’ in UK housing market amid political and economic uncertainty – business live

Housebuilder Barratt says ‘political and economic uncertainty’ hit the housing market JD Sports has also predicted its profits will be towards the top end of expectations, following a jump in sales over Christmas. JD Sports’ revenues grew by over 10% in the 22 weeks to 31 December 2022, accelerating to more than 20% in the […]
Mortgage payers face squeeze in 2023 after UK interest rate rises

Wealthy people who own home outright will avoid higher costs and benefit from better return on savings Homeowners with mortgages will be among the biggest losers from the cost of living crisis in 2023 due to interest rate rises, while the wealthiest UK households will benefit from better returns on savings and investments, according to […]
UK house prices fall as cost of living crisis and higher interest rates slow housing market – business live

Halifax reports that average UK house prices fell 1.5% in December, the fourth monthly drop in a row, pulling annual growth down to 2% Energy news: Shell says it expects to pay around $2bn over the fourth quarter of last year, due to windfall taxes in the European Union and the UK. The oil and […]
High-rise mortgage costs see surge in rents across the UK

House prices may be falling as interest rates climb, but there’s no respite for tenants as property shortages bite It’s a tale of two markets: while private rents have soared to record highs in the UK, making life precarious for tenants, the for-sale sector has slowed sharply and property values have started to fall, with […]
Is the UK housing market heading for a crash? – podcast

A steady stream of bad economic news has filtered into Britain’s property market, prompting fears that prices could tumble. But how worried should people be? Rupert Jones reports Ever since Margaret Thatcher’s ‘right to buy’ revolution in the 1980s, the UK housing market has been an obsession for millions of people. For many, buying a […]
Britain has reversed its decline before, but things may get worse before they get better | Andy Beckett

The decay has set in across social classes, and more deeply than when the country last turned itself around in the 90s Decline is a spectre that has haunted this country for at least a hundred years. Through the retreat from empire, postwar recessions and growth panics, and our inward turn since Brexit, the worry […]